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Tue Jul 16 22:11:03 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   that is for this months expiry

Tue Jul 16 22:10:56 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   at the money call

Tue Jul 16 22:10:46 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   example: AAPL closed at $430 i think, the call for $430 is $3.55

Tue Jul 16 22:09:58 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   in a more liquid market with more depth, you can usually trust market prices somewhat

Tue Jul 16 22:09:45 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   that advice is for bitcoins btw

Tue Jul 16 22:09:19 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   but, if you don't like math, don't play with options i would say

Tue Jul 16 22:09:09 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   i wish bugpowda was here, he prob has a spreadsheet to do it for you

Tue Jul 16 22:08:47 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   cuz i did it off of memory

Tue Jul 16 22:08:41 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   double check that

Tue Jul 16 22:08:38 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   and you have your volatility

Tue Jul 16 22:08:32 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   then find the square root of that number

Tue Jul 16 22:08:28 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   square that number and take the average of all the squares

Tue Jul 16 22:08:20 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   calculate the difference from the average return for each days return

Tue Jul 16 22:07:50 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   find the average return

Tue Jul 16 22:07:43 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   figure out the return for each day

Tue Jul 16 22:07:36 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   i would say go with the last 30 days

Tue Jul 16 22:06:46 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   after you know what the option is worth, figure out CP risk premium etc

Tue Jul 16 22:06:36 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   but, if you want an example, look at the stock market

Tue Jul 16 22:06:13 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   since you can only lose that share

Tue Jul 16 22:06:07 UTC 2013  <mjr_>   anyway, if you hold the share, you can sell your option at whatever price you want

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