Matches for herbi*, 4182 total results Sorted by newest | relevance
Sat Feb 08 08:55:33 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> that plot is the rolling standard deviation over the ticks
Sat Feb 08 08:54:59 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> and then i take the rolling standard deviation of that value over the last 20 ticks
Sat Feb 08 08:54:30 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> benkay: so the 20 tick log normal return is ln(CurrentTickPrice/TwentyTicksAgoPrice)
Sat Feb 08 08:53:50 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> benkay: ok a tick is a trade
Sat Feb 08 08:49:37 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> so each "index" point is one datapoint in that timeseries
Sat Feb 08 08:49:12 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> its the 20 tick standard deviation of 20 tick log normal returns
Sat Feb 08 08:48:46 UTC 2014 <benkay> herbijudlestoids ^^
Sat Feb 08 08:48:14 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> benkay: that vol spike would be very hard to handle as a trade
Sat Feb 08 08:46:40 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> volatility on MPOE, http://imgur.com/MixUdTD ...otherwise known as "why intraday mean reversion is probably not safe"
Sat Feb 08 08:37:32 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> vex got into the vodka
Sat Feb 08 08:37:24 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> uhoh
Sat Feb 08 08:30:37 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> just misread it
Sat Feb 08 08:30:34 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> hmm nah i guess that explains it, iv never seen mining hardware good for ROI before and i guess this isnt either
Sat Feb 08 08:29:02 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> maybe i misread
Sat Feb 08 08:28:59 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> there is a bit down the bottom where the guy says something about having 10 of them
Sat Feb 08 08:28:49 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> ahh mhmhmhmm
Sat Feb 08 08:28:11 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> nope, check the page
Sat Feb 08 08:27:07 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> this isnt the exact one i saw, but yea, sold as new http://www.ebay.com.au/itm/Prospero-X-1-100Gh-s-Bitcoin-Mining-ASIC-Miner-New-In-Box-/111270548942?pt=AU_Components&hash=item19e83dd5ce
Sat Feb 08 08:25:56 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> but the machines only just came out?
Sat Feb 08 08:25:26 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> ah, as in difficulty rising faster than expected will mean it cant ROI? i guess so, the calculation i used assumed 50% increase/month in difficulty