Matches for herbi*, 4182 total results Sorted by newest | relevance
Sat Feb 01 14:22:11 UTC 2014 <mircea_popescu> that q is a lot more complex, but did you read discussion with herbi a few days back ?
Sat Feb 01 06:39:19 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> best mates here, peace
Sat Feb 01 06:31:27 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> i might buy a couple of bitcoins and bet on just dice...maybe...kind of got my heart set on buying as much MPOE as i can
Sat Feb 01 06:29:52 UTC 2014 <Vexual> trade it herbi
Sat Feb 01 06:29:42 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> hope i can show you some cool stuff when hte sample size gets bigger
Sat Feb 01 06:28:55 UTC 2014 <mike_c> herbijudlestoids: i think the more analysis the better, so i hope you keep at it. i'm just not a believer.
Sat Feb 01 06:26:20 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> done
Sat Feb 01 06:26:19 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> and adjust bet size by kelly criterion
Sat Feb 01 06:26:12 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> hmm ok i just looked, id make bets with 60% chance to win
Sat Feb 01 06:22:05 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> hard to outperform that
Sat Feb 01 06:22:01 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> if its a regular dice site i would say just bet using kelly criterion
Sat Feb 01 06:21:31 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> im looking for robustness and simplicity
Sat Feb 01 06:21:24 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> i dont really look for any form of complex pattern
Sat Feb 01 06:19:31 UTC 2014 <mircea_popescu> herbijudlestoids jd is a dice site. people gamble on it. its house edge is 1%. the returns it pays investors vary wildly.
Sat Feb 01 06:18:49 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> most gamblers cant beat that strategy
Sat Feb 01 06:18:40 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> the simplest betting strategy is to bet on the low volatility bets, i.e. those that have a low payoff but high probability of succeeding
Sat Feb 01 06:18:02 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> is it a listed stock somewhere? or do you mean apply it to bets on the site itself? i couldnt see it in my mpex data
Sat Feb 01 06:17:07 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> whats JD?
Sat Feb 01 06:16:39 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> ~10-20%pa is good
Sat Feb 01 06:16:30 UTC 2014 <herbijudlestoids> i am not interested in impressing, im interested in consistent double digit returns with low vol